Churchill Downs Today we have a real nice card at Churchill Downs with an 11 Race Card with 5 of them being Stakes Races. It is showing some rain today so we might be off the turf and could be a sloppy track today!
RACE 1: With the Scratch of the 9 GOLDEN NOTION this opens up the player board where it can be anyone’s race.
12- LOOKING AY LIBERTY 4-year-old chestnut that was purchased for 200,000 making his debut today. Curious why it took him so long to get to the races but, He has some bullet workout in the morning and gets James Graham Aboard. Should see at a decent price
11- VICTORYATVICKSBURG Making his Debut today for the Mark Hubbley Barn This 3-year-old chestnut is out of Union Rags AND Status Pending( Tale of the Cat). He has some really nice work in the morning. He will run well today even if its a sloppy track. The morning line is 20-1 so we should get a decent price on him today.
4- MY NAME IS PRED- has some races under his belt not running bad for the Randy Morse Barn with being 3 wide with a lot of traffic in last race at Oaklawn Park
MY PICKS- 12-11-4-3/7
10- Danger field - 10-1 Morning Line I think will run a real nice race today stalking this field. with cutting back to preferred distance were winning 2 back. Is 12 out of 14 in the money going this distance and should be going off at a decent price/.
6- SLICK SILVER ii think will bounce back today after the last outing was over his head before( class relief) as well as stretch back out to the preferred distance, before that won 8 straight. He is 2 for 2 in the money over this surface and 5 for 5 with all wins going the distance
3- STRUT THE RING- is getting back to the dirt here today after winning last time out on the turf over at Fairgrounds in March. Loves the Slop ! is 7 for 7 in the money over a sloppy track. It should be a decent price.
4- CHARLIE’SARCGANGEL- Always shows up on Race Day Last outing was on the rail at Oaklawn and just wasn’t his day. I think I will run big today right in the thick of things. He is 3 out of 4 in the money at Churchill in past races.
MY PICKS -10-6-3-4
1 - BELFAST BOY last 2 starts had some troubles throughout the race adding blinkers today with some bullet works as well as a nice work over a muddy track. Tyler Baze Stayed Aboard.
2- WARTIME HERO 15-1 Morning line odds making his debut today for the Wayne Catalano barn with Geroux aboard. Has some real nice work in the morning as well as over the slop so i think he will run real good if it's a muddy track today. Purchased this colt for 300,000 out of Empire Maker and St johns River (unbridled). Can be big upset and would not leave out of exacta or triples.
4 BUBBA CABALLO- Had a nice debut last time out at Oaklawn park finishing 2nd with being 4 wide and closing strong stretching out to 6 ½ furlongs should be perfect Distance and closing strong. Red Hot Talamo Stays abroad.
7 FUGITIVE I think bounces back today after running real bad last time out at Gulfstream Park on April 25th Maker/Gaffalione Duo always Dangerous!
10 VERB - is cutting back to preferred distance with a lot of speed being 6 for 6 in the money lifetime. Last work was a bullet 59 over a sloppy track here at Churchill! Should be tough here.
8- Carolina Aireness- Should go off at a decent price here and can also be a big upset with running pretty good on his debut, with taking a lot of energy out of him before the race not wanting to load into the gate. Hernandez stayed abroad and had nice work on May 13th over this track.
5- Peddlers Pride- is going turf to dirt here after scoring the best buyer of his career on the turf his last outing 71 buyers. I think this 3-year-old just found his groove and will run big today on the dirt for Trainer Will Mott
1 VALLETTA William Mott sends out another Turf to Dirt here. Her last outing on the Turf she had some troubles with having to check near the 1/16 pole but still got up to finish 4th and only losing by 3 lengths. I would not base her 1st race of her Career that was on the dirt that she's only a turf horse. I think she just needed to go longer and a mile would be perfect.
9 ALTAF going out for Chad Brown with Rosario aboard is going to be tough to beat and should be the favorite in here but lately, his favorites haven’t been able to get the job done. I would consider looking elsewhere if she goes off at a heavy favorite.
6 TAKE CHARGE GLENDA finished 2nd on her debut being 4 wide and closing strong. Think she makes a big step up today 2nd time out for the Dallas Stewart Barn.
8 TAKE CHARGE PATTI (LONG SHOT )Should Possible take a look at her if you are looking for a price she has been getting better and better each race as well as losing to next time out winners. can be a sleeper and dangerous here!
MY PICKS -1-9-6-8
RACE 5: 160k going a mile and sixteenth on the turf. This is going to a nice race to watch have a lot of good horses in this race.
9 MR. MISUNDERSTOOD is 6 for 6 in the money at Churchill with 5 wins and 4 for 6 going the distance. With Dynamic Duo Brad Cox/ Geroux who gets off the 5 here to ride this one. Should be a small price here which then i would go a different direction but wouldn’t keep her out of exacta and triples. Considering hast run since January but still coming off a nice work.
Micheal Maker sends out two here with the 5 Parlor and 10 Hembree which i like both of them and will be my top selections and will decide who i like on top after seeing them in the padic and warming up. Parlor should be stalking the pace with Jose Ortiz aboard and knowing how to get the job done, and Hembree is closer and should be closing strong with Tyler Gaffione in the saddle
8 - FIRST PREMIO( LONG SHOT) going out for mark case is 2 for 4 in the money over this surface and has 3 out of 4 wins going this distance should be going off at a nice price as well as can run off the pace and close as well as be front runner stalking which will be very beneficial with seeing how everyone else breaks.
12 ENGLISH BEE is coming out of the Appletn at Gulfstream where he found himself in a lot of trouble during the race but still only lost by 3 lengths closing strong. Castellano get Back aboard this one after riding 2 back and finishing 2nd coming gamely down the stretch going a mile. One mile and sixteenth will give him some more space to get the job done perfectly with his style of closing late!
MY PICKS 10-5-12-9 LONG SHOT 8
4 GET THE PRIZE going out for Albert Stall Jr with Rosario aboard is going to be tough to beat in here coming with being 3 for 5 in the money lifetime and only losing by the longest 4 lengths in any of his races.
5 BREAKING NEWS (LONG SHOT PLAY) I really like this horse which is going out 2nd time off the layoff and being 50 percent in the money over this surface in past and get red hot Talamo staying aboard for the 2nd time and race should possibly set up perfect for him with a lot of speed being in the race with closing strong coming around the turn!
6 HIDDEN RULER Ran real good at the Oaklawn meet winning 2 back over the slope for a claimer of 50k and then finishing 3rd last time out for allowance of 50k. Should be stalking the speed here with Jose Ortiz Aboard and be right in the thick of things coming to the wire! 10-1 morning line odds. Should be a nice price here.
10 SMART TIME I thought this was an interesting 4-year-old out of Bernadini. Only running twice in his career and not running since June is a big question mark, But running lights out in his only two starts where he won by 11 lengths 1st time outscoring an 86 buyer and finished 2nd by a length his second start. 1st time out after being gelded as well. Should be a big price in here and can run right back to where he left off in June.
MY PICKS- 5-3-6-10 Try and beat the favorite and have some meat (Price)in this race
RACE 7: THE SHAWNEE STAKES going a mile and sixteenth on the dirt. The Favorites in here should be the 4 DUNBAR ROAD coming off the layoff for the Chad Brown barn. She is coming off a long layoff running Back in November in the Santa Anita BCDistaf-G1 finished 5th. Before that he won the G1 Alabama in Saratoga, she is 6 out of 7 in the money lifetime with 4 wins being 3 out of 3 in the money going this distance as well as 2 for 2 in the slop. The other Favorite in here going with the dynamic duo Assmusen/ Santana Jr. 8 SHES A JULIE should be gunning for the lead here with possible being the only speed with being 5 out of 6 in the money at this track in her career and 6 out of 9 times in the money going the distance. Only ran once in the slop not running too well.
6 VAULT going 2nd time out for the Brad Cox barn I think will run big today with getting Joel Rosario aboard being 6 out of 6 in the money going this distance with 5 wins and a second. She also is 50% in a wet track. Should be stalking the speed and set up nice for her here
5- ANOTHER BROAD is coming off a 4-month layoff but not worried at all Pletcher getting his horses ready to run and having good percentages off the layoff. Cutting back in distance here today with being 2 for 2 in the money going this distance and is 6 for 6 in the money over the slop. I would definitely not leave this one off your ticket if it's a sloppy track today.
3- AW EMMA - never count out Dallas Stewart in Big races always knows how to sneak in there with some long shots
I will try and go against the favorites in here
MY PICKS- 6-5-8-4- 3 LONG SHOT
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